The amount of analysis you do is admirable. I appreciate your posts man, keep it up!

Do you have a region?

Does the sun facing impact area affect location? On a similiar note geomagnetic effects from flares/cmes have greater effect based on distance from equator. For instance the geomagnetic storms have alerts specifying 50 degrees off equator. Is there a correlation also attributed to Earthquakes?

I have no idea if there's anything to your space weather hypothesis, although I'll be interested in seeing how successful your predictions are. But you might want to incorporate more geology into your analysis. Convergent plate boundaries, the only areas likely to experience M = 8.0-9.5 quakes, are a pressure release mechanism for plate subduction, with roughly periodic occurrence at the century scale. Really big quakes are therefore more likely to occur along convergent boundaries that have been building up pressure without release in the recent past at the century scale.

Induction isn't so effective when the geological mechanism itself requires delay longer than a human lifetime between events. Even seismologists have been running into this problem, basing predictions on historical data when in many cases, the period of the disaster far exceeds the time of observation. There are no guarantees, but I'd be pretty surprised if the Japan Trench were to rupture again so soon after a 9.1 megathrust. That's a lot of pressure release. Other convergent boundaries in the area might be more vulnerable, though, like the Ryukyu trench to the south, which likewise hasn't produced a major megathrust quake in recent history, but geologically probably should at some point.

IF space weather is having some unrecognized effect on the timing of tectonic pressure release, certainly it must still be governed by whether there's significant pressure to release or not, right? Maybe if you can identify more vulnerable areas based on LACK of recent earthquakes despite favorable geological conditions, you can better predict when the solar flares are more dangerous, assuming you're on to something legit. Just a thought! (If there's any chance at all you could predict the timing of the Cascadia subduction zone megathrust that will sooner or later devastate the Pacific Northwest, that would be pretty amazing, because it's going to be rough whenever it happens...)

Well, you've definitely got my attention. First 8+ of 2017 under 36 hours after your post. Ridiculous luck, or scientific breakthrough?

I'd argue it demonstrates my point to an extent, too (even though that's less exciting! just wanted to point it out.) Check out the location of this earthquake compared to previously recorded earthquakes near Mexico. This is a spot that hasn't released stress in awhile. Smaller scale than the Japan Trench example from last night -- smaller quake with necessarily more limited geographic extent of the thrust, vs. the massive rupture of the 2011 Tohoku quake. But the same principle applies. Places that are likely to experience megathrusts but haven't in awhile are ticking timebombs. Sumatra and the eastern coast of Japan along the Japan Trench are two of the safest earthquake zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire right now. Just thought that would be useful to work into your model.

(Incidentally, Cascadia scares the crap out of me because of the relative rarity of 6.0+-ish quakes since the ~9 in 1700. Those plates are LOCKED. I'm pretty worried that with that amount of stress, it could be a pretty precarious situation down -- any disturbance might blow the whole thing without warning, I figure...)

Check out Dutchsinse if you want to see accurate EQ forecasts on a daily basis. His methods are repeatable, easy to see, and accurate.

what is your thought on the electric universe theory

So it's charging/moving our core? I'm 5

Dang you don't play around.

Why do you have to guess? How accurate have your past predictions been?

Yeah your account isn't sketchy at all...

2 years. 3 posts. 650 post karma with 60 upvotes combined. 7k comment karma. Active 4 months ago...

You really want to attack the messenger?

Is there a point to your comment?

You know, some people like to clear out their shit so others can't rifle through it :)

Cowarss.

Tell it to /u/HanAssholeSolo and /u/stonetear

I'm not deleting shit.

You the man, Ken!

Checking someones comment history for no reason is sketchy...

So what's with this sub and sleuthing though peoples comment history before replying to them? It's like you got to see if they are on your side or not before you respond.

It seems like literally any combination of age and post frequency is suspect if you don't like what someone is saying.

They havent.

And most people in here aren't even bothering calling him out on it.

I believe you bro I just hope San Diego doesn't get hit

well in any event I believe you and won't mock you. people have been ripping me apart over the September 23 warnings but it is what is. shit is going down

we appreciate your hard work and trying to warn us. stay safe bro

Good for you, do not let them taunt you.

I love when you post, I may not understand stuff but I like it :)

Hi u/ParsingSol you made a prediction in your last one or two, poss. three posts here specifically regarding New Zealand.

What came of that prediction? Did it occur off the coast, deeper down or to a lesser degree than predicted or not at all?

Just asking as I live there/here/in NZ and didn't discern or recall anything from around the time you indicated and had been meaning to ask you.

Ok so I'm a new sub at this subreddit so I have a question. What are the September 23 warnings?

Judgement Day.

This is kind of long, but every second of this video is important https://youtu.be/xn_l2yS6H2o

Oh I see. Thank you for the information.

From Aug 21, the day of the Eclipse:

• it was 30 days until the Feast of Trumpets
• it was 33 days until Revelation 12 sign fulfilled on Sept. 23 exactly
• it was 40 days until the Day of Atonement

The eclipse ended in the Atlantic where Harvey began

The massive solar flare/CME the other day that caused this 8.0 subduction zone quake is probably just the beginning of more to come since it's still so early

Yellowstone trembling's

Multiple hurricanes including one massive super one within one week

7 years from now another Solar eclipse goes across America forming an "X"

What is next I wonder ???

(Luke 21:25) - "And there will be signs in sun and moon and stars, and on the earth distress of nations in perplexity because of the roaring of the sea and the waves"

All just the beginning of birth pains. The end times show hasn't even begun to start yet. Biblical prophecy fulfillment is about to be continued to be fulfilled to it's finale, probably in less than 2 weeks =O)

Crazy times we live in. Truth is indeed stranger than fiction.

Did you know that Jesus, from the Bible you just quoted, liked to eat ass?

Well, at least your username is accurate.

Sept 23rd?

You're bat-shit

Bro, didn't you just predict a 8.0 a week or two ago, and nothing happened? How is this any different? Your model clearly isn't 100% figured out yet....maybe chill with the scare mongering?

Who cares if he's not always right. At least he's trying and he's got a lot of posts here that were accurate. He's not scaremongering. If his predictions are even 30% correct and there's a corelation between the flares and quakes then he is leading the charge to start up new studies that can save countless lives. This dude is trying. Let him entertain us with some shit that ain't politics for once.

He's larping. The people who buy into this hysteria us what's ridiculous

4chan larps. This dude is legit.

What makes you think he's legit? Has he ever made a correct prediction?

2 month old account. Nuff said.

Why does it matter how old the account is? He's asking a question.

All the fat cats in the Big Earthquake-Predicting Industry don't want us to know the truth!

Accepting apologies now.

The question, which you never answered, was perfectly apt. You put blind faith in something, and it turned out at least semi-true. Y was true, and X was true, but whether X=Y is yet to be seen. He listed a half dozen locations near fault lines. I'm not saying he was incorrect, maybe he is onto something, maybe it was luck. I simply want proof before I believe something.

"I want to believe"

Lol you're a junkie, that explains so much.

Bold statement.

Do you have any links to those past threads or something? I've literally only ever see you be incorrect or vaguely close, which you then espouse as a huge victory.

So uh... How bout now?

One at least.

https://twitter.com/BNONews/status/906019136815251456 yep

Welcome to the day he was correct.

Depends on how you define correct, tbh. He predicted an 8.3 or higher in Japan or Nepal. There was an 8.1 in Mexico. idk

Just admit you were wrong.

As I said elsewhere, I do admit that I'm more impressed than I was at first. I didn't realize how few 8.0+ earthquakes there have been in the last century. Although I'm not convinced that this isn't a case of a stopped watching being right twice a day (given that all the other prediction I've seen from him have failed), I'm interested to hear his next prediction.

Lol he was wildly and completely incorrect. Japan isn't close to Mexico. It scares me that you people could potentially be parents.

He did say it could be a number of places, Mexico included.

How do you expect him to pinpoint the exact place?

Mexico city.

....was not his prediction, but okay.

Read his other comments.

He just made one.

Wrong location, but I am impressed he got the magnitude right.

Also 1 month old account? Please.

Interested if there is a revision to your opinion now that we just had a 8.0

Newfags who don't shit about this sub LUL

Still think he's larping?

amen. its unreal how much people are trying to spread hate for him. he isn't charging any money, simply posting a theory of his every now and then for our potential benefit. Like fuck this guy for not being a 100% accurate earthquake predictor, at least he's spending his time working on something to help people rather than sitting on his ass shitting on others who try

Exactly. Well said.

I think it's awesome you're looking at these correlations and trying to make sense of them, 100% support your work....I just think it hurts your cause when you post stuff like this and then it doesn't happen. I can appreciate that you're trying to bring attention to your ideas, but you're on a conspiracy board where ppl WANT to believe the world is gonna end soon for whatever reason...I dunno. Chicken-little-effect. Maybe try to word your posts a bit more scientifically....some more 'maybes' and 'we'd expects' may go farther to increase your credibility.

You did it.

I'm sure your not super happy to be right about something like this. At least it's for science. Keep it up man. Lets hope people are safe.

I just think it hurts your cause when you post stuff like this and then it doesn't happen

and now?

Not this time. Well done and keep up the great work.

Sometimes I fail. Miserably.

I think that should read "Regularly I fail." You're a charlatan.

got 8.2 earthquake minutes ago on Mexico dude. :/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-08/magnitude-8-earthquake-reported-near-tres-picos-mexico-usgs

Lol. Check the news now

This comment did not age well.

Why? Because yo morons think Japan is close to Mexico? If you walk around all day saying it's going to rain, it doesn't mean you predicted the rain when it happens.

how do you feel now...?

How do you feel now?

Happy for the dude!

are you a wizard?

Good call - http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-41197831

How are you predicting location? Those places are known to get larger sized earthquakes. If we know there is a correlation between these solar flare events, couldn't anyone just watch for a large flare and predict an earthquake in these prone regions? It's a pretty big spread location wise.

Wooh! Mexico just had an earthquake of 8.0

You literally predicted an 8.0 earthquake would hit Mexico and it fucking did. You should share your research with the USGS.

Why would you have to guess?

I thought you had a model that can predit location and magnitude.

Why guess?

He's got a solid hypothesis that isn't always right, so yes he will guess until he gains momentum until his predictions become more accurate. It takes balls to make such bold predictions and putting his reputation on the line again and again.

Explain this "solid hypothesis" because he certainly cannot.

Solar flares connected to earthquakes. What's the top post in conspiracy this morning?

Yeah, anonymously posting guesses that are always wrong on a conspiracy subreddit is a real risk to his already fine reputation

Always wrong huh?

Would you like me to edit it "wrong 99% of the time"?

Enjoy it, you'll have to wait decade before he accidentally gets anything "right" again.

You just described every weather forecaster ever. Its all guessing.

No the fuck it's not

Its educated guessing really. Meteorologists have a decent understanding of the the way weather works, but their forecasts are pretty much guesses until about 2-3 days out.

It's prediction, not guessing, based on a set of data. They're not going, "Gee, I guess snow tomorrow because it's winter and it's cold?"

They're looking at cold fronts compared to warm fronts, looking at where the fronts originated, looking at what historically weather patterns have done, they're looking at weather we're currently having and making predictions based on all of that. Modern meteorologists also use tons of computer driven models to predict the weather and more often than not, they're right.

Sometimes they're wrong and we get less rain than predicted, or it rains instead of snows, temperature can fluctuate within the range they give and change the weather slightly, storms can move a bit and take you out of their range.

But more often than not, they're correct.

What we're dealing with here, is someone who's constantly predicting things that don't happen most of the time, and even the times he's been "right", he's still been off by a bunch.

His predictions aren't good or working, he's guessing based on a model that clearly isn't as accurate as he claims.

No

You are making claims stating something js definetly going to happen and then it doesn't happen.

You have no credibility left.

He has no credibility anyway, so nothing to lose but everything to gain

Let's say he get lucky and guesses right he will gain credibility does a second time maybe Internet fandom

This guy ain't bluffin

Too bad it happened

Japan

Mexico

:thinking:

Dude, check OP history he has claimed a "big earthquake" will happen every week in the last 4 months he was bound to be right at least once.

How's that humble pie tasting?

Trolls don't like humble pie.

Japan

Mexico

:thinking:

The radio blackout was over south Western Asia, east India.

The lastest radio blackout areas are over Africa ATM. We just had another M-flare too...going to be interesting. Btw have you read this article? http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/dec/31/solar-flare-sun-touches-our-psyche/ ....not only earthquakes to worry about, but the personal scale. They're might be a terrorist attack or false flag soon. Full moon again tonight also. Shit crazy y'all.

thats really not good..

8.0 earth quake of the cost of Mexico...

Wrong, Southern Mexico.

Looks like Mexico.

Well it hit the pacific. Can you elaborate on your findings!?

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/08/mexico-struck-by-earthquake-of-magnitude-8-tsunami-possible-usgs.html

Tsunami confirmed http://tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2017/09/08/17251000/4/WEPA40/WEPA40.txt

Oh man, if only you had said Mexico.

Wow I was just checking this sub to see if there was a post yet about the huge flare. Sure enough, there is. Thanks ParsingSol. You get a lot of flak but I'm rooting for you as well as many others I'm sure.

No you arent.

Yeah you tried to cash in on all that hype surrounding the eclipse but instead you just proved yourself a fool.

You get a lot of flak but I'm rooting for you as well as many others I'm sure.

Wait... You're rooting for a devastating earthquake to hit eastern Japan, just so some random hack finally hits a bullseye with his 'model' ? Not for nothing, that sounds like a dick statement.

What's your problem, buddy? I didn't say that at all. I'm rooting for his work, his methods, I'm rooting for the guy who spends his time in pursuit of advancing the field of science and increasing our understanding of the way things work.

Personally I think he is on to something with his theory about solar activity relating to seism

If he's right it means we can save a few million lives in the future with his methods

As op wrote, correlation doesn't imply causation, but op hasn't even shown correlation. Given that there are tens of thousands of earthquakes a year, and plenty of data, good science would dictate proving there's a positive relationship E would be a key first step.

Ahh thank you. I've been waiting on your post. Good stuff.

Great work parsing! A lot of people give you flak but you're doing something they aren't, and that's actually trying something and improving upon it.

Keep it up! I enjoy reading these

Better to be criticized for trying to create something genuine than complimented for being average.

Another predition that will result in nothing

Parsing Sol is right more often than not and shows his work.

He has never been right

No, you've been following his posts?

Seems to me he has a solid premise, solid methodology, solid results, shows his work... what am I missing?

He has never provided any data or formulas for his work, neither has he shown a list of predictions and success ratings.

Case in point, if he had a formula it would have either been extremely easy to explain why the "largest earthquake of 16-17" didn't happen. He would also have been able to explain what was changed this time, making his "largest earthquake of the decade" post valid.

His only real successes are earthquakes bellow 5.0 on highly energetic region. A user replied to one of his posts with random predictions and got an equivalent ratio of correct outcomes.

On the other side, op has tried to crowdfund his work but then it emerged that he wanted the money to get married which prompted him to create another account.

Vague assertions have turned into actual content!

That's not vague assertions. Anyone can say there will be an earthquake in a hot zone and will eventually get it right.

I meant the initial assertions against the OP, by schotel, were vague. The assertions then went from vague to actual content, provided by Etoiles_mortant.

Quote a couple of his correct predictions.

Explain his hypothesis and methology.

Have you not noticed that he has actually never explain what his hypothesis is and how he comes to his conclusions?

RemindMe! 7 days

I'll take that bet.

I will be messaging you on 2017-09-13 19:54:13 UTC to remind you of this link.

CLICK THIS LINK to send a PM to also be reminded and to reduce spam.

^{Parent commenter can delete this message to hide from others.}

RemindMe! 7 days

I'll take that bet.

Hey now, don't turn this into a gambling problem!

I literally bet a guy at work 100$ on one of his predictions and lost.... Fucking sucker born every minute...

Fortunately i don't have $100.

RemindMe! 7 days

Time to pay up

Hmm

OK.

It happened, Cocos plate and carribean in Mexico. It was an 8.0 he's a fucking wizard

Look at his post history, he says this shit every 5-10 days. He's bound to be right eventually

This is different because the solar flare he's referring to was a large one, which is triggering a major aurora.

Could be correlation, could be a breakthrough in earthquake science.

Didn't you do that with the last post? You were confident that it was going to be the strongest quake of the year in 7 days from that post.

What happen? Why not update about why the prediction was wrong. Explain why your method will be correct this time since you are taking bets on it.

Right. He offers zero transparency on his "model" that's he developed and he's been wrong with just about every prediction that he's made. At this point I wouldn't be surprised if he's a psyop to test just how wrong somebody can be and still be taken as credible by gullible people

How do you feel now?

He, and I'm being serious, said the reason that it didn't happen last time was due to time dilation.

...That doesn't even make sense.

I made a foolish mistake by weighing in on the theory an eclipse holds more value then it did. I ooenly admit that.

Why do you keep acting like everyone means the eclipse prediction when they mean your bullshit about the 'bz breach' or whatever term you were misusing

and when nothing happens will you then admit you were wrong and have no idea what youre doing, or will you just brush it off as a miscalculation even though your location and magnitude will be nowhwre near.

Even if one does occur, you have no evidence that your model predicted it, your assertions will just be post hoc ergo propter hoc

Read the thread carefully enough and you will see a more exact location is given.

You mean you 'guessing' Japan. I suspect if a smaller quake happens we'll see a very liberal location ring just so you look half right. You still havent published how you picked that spot in particular, although what a suprise its in the pacific rim.

My model has no relevance to this post. Its computational and fully based on data

Then publish the calculations

What I am capable of is demonstrating the model per human capacity.

Why havent you then?

If ive ever impressed anyone

You havent, because your predictions arent any good

Thats all I ask.

Just like the last one.

The sooner you admit to being a snake oil salesman the sooner you can stop wasting everyones time

I take my time and posts seriously.

No you really dont

Dude!!!! Fucking seeing this! You nailed it!

Part of me absolutely hates that the prediction was correct; I cannot imagine the hardship some people are facing. The other side of me is ecstatic that the model had more evidence. Not everyday we get a 8.1 magnitude earthquake.

Me is so conflicted.

Yeah I don't view this as a positive that people may be hurt by a natural disaster. I'm hoping this is something that may potentially lead to predicting these and in turn helping to minimize possible deaths. I get where you are coming from.

Broken clock right twice a day?

Or Nostradamus?

More news at 11.

You should eat you're hat now

You just got fucking owned.

No i didnt.

8.0 in mexico just like he said here we go boys

Earthquake wizard zapped ur ass dude

Still no

You more salty than that earthquake's tsunami.

Did this sub just learn a new word today or something

and when nothing happens will you then admit you were wrong and have no idea what youre doing

Well, this post didn't age well. How do you feel now troll?

Fine?

So...a magnitude 8 hit mexico earlier...

I thought this prediction had to do with the Bz value. You said: "So if you ever wanted confirmation of the legitimacy of what ive been doing. It's about to come as this breach comes to an end. (Within -12 hours of the breach closing)."

Glad you're here, forget these nay-sayer, keep doing you.

Remindme! 7 days

RemindMe! 7 days

http://archive.is/adCx7

GUIDE US WISE ONE

Remind me! 6 days

You're assuring us! By constantly predicting big earthquakes, you are bound to be a broken clock at least once in the future. Especially with big windows.

But, it will be correlative and not causitive, and there is a huge difference. So, to prove your self and your model, you need to be right about more details than a big earthquake. You're gonna have to call the area and the magnitude.

Are you aware that earthquakes occur constantly all over the world? Have you considered attempting to predict some of these smaller ones that always happen?

Way off, and like I said, when the little boy keeps crying wolf, eventually there will be wolves. But that doesn't mean he caused the wolves to come or predicted they would come. He simply knew they came, so if he kept saying they would come, eventually he would look correct.

Anyway, in order to claim this, you need to prove it mathematically then repeat it. Maybe with smaller ones.

Because you reiterated Japan and Nepal, so you're still wrong and this is still not in any way proved.

Prove me wrong~

Your hairy schlong will be glorified on Reddit

How did you know it was hairy?

clairevoyance

RemindMe! 7 days

Time to pay up

Pay up

You lost son.

You just lost.

You shouldn't have taken that bet...

You can turn off that reminder now....

I'll remind you earlier.

You lost the bet.

Pay up

Wrong region, but right time frame.

exactly, right time frame

...but you said that last time. You were super confident about the last one and even gave a very specific time frame, location, and magnitude. It was supposed to be the biggest earthquake of the 2016-2017 season. And then nothing, not even a small rumble. At what point does this become the boy who cried wolf?

More of a Chicken Little.

Not your eclipse post (that was also wrong) but the massive quake you predicted before that when the last gap closed, or whatever the correct term is. The one where you said it would be "The largest quake of 2016-2017".

I'm not taking any bets with you because I have as much faith of you following through with it as I do with you admitting you are making this all up as you go. Plus, no one wants to see my hairy schlong.

I've been watching these predictions for a while because I was actually really interested in it at first. But I still haven't seen anything to convince me there is merit to your theory. And the fact that you continue to sell every single prediction as if it is 100% guaranteed this time but then go on to admit you haven't worked out certain parts of the model or really even know exactly what you are doing just doesn't sit right with me.

Hey, if this one turns out to be right it will certainly help to win me back around. But that means in the next seven days there needs to be an 8.0 in either Japan or the East Coast. Not a 6.0 in India, not a 4.0 in Hawaii, and not a hurricane in the Atlantic.

RemindMe! 7 days

RemindMe! 7 days

RemindMe! 7 days

Damn

You called it.

Haha nice

Suh dude

Ooh shit

It's happening!

8 in Mexico count?

Probably not because the location isn't spot on.

Has he won you back around yet ?

He was way off on the location but dead on with the magnitude, so that's enough for at least partial credit and I'll definitely give the theory another chance! I'd love to hear a layman's explanation of how he determined the location this time and how the actual results will affect his calculations.

I was just joking my friend, though I agree it does sound interesting to look into.

I woke up this morning to a dozen comments all saying "Told ya so!" So I figured I should probably respond to at least one of them. Anyway, I'll be following this a bit closer now. Until he actually gives some decent explanations of his models though I'm going to continue to be skeptical.

That's the way to live! Question Everything!!!!

Fuck yes, my man!

Looks like you're winning over some of the doubters today...

Listen not to the terds man. Your doing excellent work and sticking your neck out there. Your wrong the next 10 times I'm still interested in what you have to say. Your putting in hours and trying to change the world for the better. I don't know ANY names in this sub except you. You stick out(in a good way) and keep doing your thing! The basement dwellers can talk all the shit they want, shouldn't phase you bra.

you need "failure" to succeed and progress. Keep it up.

I see what you're doing, and sometimes it's panning out. You have some tweaking to do, or, your LARPing game is solid lol.

I wonder how the keyboard warriors are making out with their experiments ? But im sure trying the mayo their mom bought a few months ago will work out just fine for them.

Again... Thanks for that. 99 percent on here wouldnt even attempt.

Have you ever provided your data?

There is a wealth of data within the thread.

So... no?

I'm absolutely not good at this.

Upvote!

However, I'd argue (along with others) that I'm better at it, then you've ever taken me for.

Oh nevermind then

I'm just giving you a hard time. Better to try and fail than not try at all. So long as you keep learning from any failures. Keep it up

lol .... seems like someone is afraid and not entirely sure if he will be wrong or not.

If you were so convinced he was a fool, wouldn't you take the bet?

If you were so convinced he was a fool, wouldn't you take the bet?

People were trying to bet this guy $100 on his last post (where he was equally confidence and where nothing happened). ParsingSol didn't take it, but multiple users wanted to (bet he'd be incorrect).

This bet isn't about being convinced or not, it's not no one wants to see ParsingSol or anyone else on here on Gone Wild.

Even a broken clock is correct twice a day.

14 divided by 2 is 7 6 in one hand, half dozen in the other What goes around, comes around

I know right.... Wat

You dodged a bullet by not taking that bet lmao

WE DEMAND A GONEWILD POST

Let's see that schlong m80.

Remindme! 8 days

Deal. Send me a pm when you post

You going to post to Gonewild now?

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/08/mexico-struck-by-earthquake-of-magnitude-8-tsunami-possible-usgs.html

As much as I'd hate to see it, I need to see him own up to this.

Link us the post when it's up!

Send me a pm when you post please.

Thanks.

What's good?

RemindMe! 2 days

Earthquakes happen all the time. 8.0 is not something you just predict. Any more than you predict the lottery numbers. If the guy said there's gonna be an 8.0 this coming week and within 4 says he makes good, and you bet him you post on GW. I BETTER SEE SOMW BOOBS OR SOMW DIX.

Coward

You pussy.

You made a bet. Fucking own up to it.

No, OP states in his post he is not predicting the location. You have to read on in the thread to find a location and that was because he was goaded into throwing one out there. Just back out of it without the lame excuses.

TRAITOR! -Kylo Ren

You're a lying honorless cunt.

Replying to your edit where you're saying it was because of Japan that you didn't get it... His comment that you agreed to states 8.0 in 7 days. That's what you agreed to. Own up.

Here, I'll help you:

/r/gonewild

Hey everyone this guy's a phoney!

RemindMe! 1 week

Omfg it's going down !!!

Honestly, he is probably just going to keep claiming there will be an 8+ "within the next two weeks" every two weeks till one happens. Then, of course, he will point out how right he was.

And it would still be okay in a two week window.

8pointers don't happen everyday

well it happened

He was right btw.

Lol. Btfo

Welp...

OP didn't choose the Thug Life, the Thug Life chose him.

Show me ur tiddies loset

You owe us a gonewild post ;)

I swear there are more people in this single thread that want to see me naked than there have ever been in real life.

Dude, the last time you said there would be a huge earthquake, you were wrong.

You keep being wrong.

He's been right a few times. Not sure if this account or his other account.

The only times he's been right is like 5.0 in the most active earthquake area in the world

no he got a 6 something when he predicted a 7. It hit indo or the philapine but not japan like predicted.

Yes a 6 is magnitudes less than a 7 and japan aint indo but as far as i can see its like tipping a horse. win or place. Many times you loose but its better than no prediction.

This is why i come to conspiracy. Cool fringe shit like this.

If I predict an earthquake once a week something close will pop up eventually.

Something about a blind clock finding a nut twice a day right?

So look at the one time he was right and ignore the dozens of times he's been wrong? C'mon that can't sit right with people

He was just right.

Everyone can be right if they guess enough. That's DJ's magic of probabilities.

Turns out he was right this tiem.

Welp, he's not wrong...

And what will you do when nothing happens?

Delete your account?

Pretend you were right?

Make up some excuse?

Or will you finally admit that your preditions are worthless?

Dude nobody wants to see your fat hairy body. A fucking gonewild post just goes to prove you're here to just for attention.

By trying to swindle people for their money?

How about you just admit that you've made yet another inaccurate prediction, instead of ignoring this prediction, like you've done all the other ones that have been inaccurate? No one cares about you posting on Gone Wild.

Yeah, I'm real worried. When you're wrong this time, will you fuck off to your own sub and stop bullshitting people and begging for money for your "predictions"?

Absolutely. I'll also hold my breath until that happens.

Will you admit most of your predictions have been wrong if this one isn't correct?

you seeing this? https://www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/6yspm7/magnitude_80_earthquake_strikes_off_the_coast_of/

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https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/4417956/massive-earthquake-measuring-magnitude-8-strikes-mexico-sparking-tsunami-warning/

;)

Tsunami confirmed- * AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 8.2 OCCURRED OFF THE COAST OF CHIAPAS, MEXICO AT 0449 UTC ON FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 8 2017.

• TSUNAMI WAVES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED.

• BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES ARE FORECAST FOR SOME COASTS.

TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST

• TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING MORE THAN 3 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG SOME COASTS OF

  MEXICO.

• TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING 0.3 TO 1 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL ARE POSSIBLE FOR SOME COASTS OF

  AMERICAN SAMOA... ANTARCTICA... COOK ISLANDS... ECUADOR... EL SALVADOR... FIJI... FRENCH POLYNESIA... GUATEMALA... KIRIBATI... NEW ZEALAND... SAMOA... TOKELAU... TUVALU... VANUATU... AND WALLIS AND FUTUNA.

• TSUNAMI WAVES ARE FORECAST TO BE LESS THAN 0.3 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL FOR THE COASTS OF

  AUSTRALIA... CHILE... CHINA... CHUUK... COLOMBIA... COSTA RICA... GUAM... HAWAII... HONDURAS... HOWLAND AND BAKER... INDONESIA... JAPAN... JARVIS ISLAND... JOHNSTON ATOLL... KERMADEC ISLANDS... KOSRAE... MALAYSIA... MARSHALL ISLANDS... MIDWAY ISLAND... NAURU... NEW CALEDONIA... NICARAGUA... NIUE... NORTHERN MARIANAS... NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... PALAU... PALMYRA ISLAND... PANAMA... PAPUA NEW GUINEA... PERU... PHILIPPINES... PITCAIRN ISLANDS... POHNPEI... RUSSIA... SOLOMON ISLANDS... TAIWAN... TONGA... VIETNAM... WAKE ISLAND... AND YAP.

http://tsunami.gov/events/PHEB/2017/09/08/17251000/4/WEPA40/WEPA40.txt

/u/purple_pink damn.

It didn't take that long. Are you blue in the face?

He predicted an 8.3 or higher in Japan or Nepal.

There was an 8.1 in Mexico.

I'm not sure I'm all that impressed, tbh.

8 hrs later...

....there was an 8.1 in Mexico, not an 8.3 or higher in Japan or Nepal. Meh.

damn son!

Go on credit him.

He predicted an 8.3 or higher in Japan or Nepal.

There was an 8.1 in Mexico.

I'm not sure I'm all that impressed, tbh.

Your ego is ridiculous. I bet you're a lot of fun at parties.

You fucking kidding me?

Almost as much as you being a karma whore.

And here comes the downvote train

Kiss the ring.

Absolutely. I'll also hold my breath until that happens.

well? lol

does this mean you will be fucking off to your own sub now?

Please. Hold it for ever.

Oh boy...

When you're wrong this time, will you fuck off to your own sub and stop bullshitting people and begging for money for your "predictions"?

Well, this post didn't age well. How do you feel now troll? You said you will credit him ("absolutely") if he was right. Well... we are waiting gpg.

I mean, he did say it would be on the other side of the world, but I admit I am impressed that there was an earthquake with the strength he predicted.

he was right? will you fuck off now?

Lol. Who is the idiot now,?

He doesn't have to do any of those things, since gullible people will still believe him and upvote all his posts.

He was right. 8.0 in Mexico 10 minutes ago

But he said Japan or Nepal. Partial credit for guessing the scale, but he was a few thousand miles off.

https://np.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/6yhv3l/the_ultimate_earthquake_test_is_about_to_commence/dmox7n6/

Lol. Guy predicts a super rare event and gives a guess on where, super rare event happens exactly when he predicted. Random redditer "half credit- nice try."

Guy predicts a super rare event a lot, and is wrong a lot.

If he gets another one right on magnitude, then I'll be impressed

A 5.3 just hit Japan

Japan has also has 21 earthquakes in the past 30 days, and 443 in the past 365 days.

Saying there is going to be an earthquake in Japan over the span of a week is like saying there's going to be no rain in the Sahara for a week.

Even a broken clock is right twice a day. Doesn't mean I trust it to get me to work on time.

Hahahaha eat your own

Dude.

Wow ur a dumbfuck

RemindMe! 7 days

I'm down for this one

How much $$$$ will you bet?

If you can give me a fair currency trade I will bet you 100 Schrute bucks! Honestly though, if youre right or wrong it is still interesting to see the info you post. Thank you

Luckily you didn't bet. Massive earthquake in Mexico

can you dumb it down for us lay men?

Could we store this charge in some sort of flux capacitor?

Great Scott!

How is that supposed to work?

i have to look into this, ive never heard this before. and your saying there is direct correlation between the sun and earthquakes?

Please describe these flux magnetic tubes.

No, its not. I just went through ALL of your posts (simply pulling up your history and doing ctrl+F) and you have not ONCE explained what the "Earth's flux magnetic tubes" are. Every time you dodge the question.

Then link to it.... Because I just looked, and don't see anything of the kind. And if you don't feel like linking, then you should easily be able briefly explain them here. Since they are the entire basis for your theory.

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Nice job!!!

I'll be the first to say that you were right.

prepare for some upvotes I guess. You nailed it

You're right

WTF dude?

Well shit

How the fuck did you know!?

Another...eh not worth my time.

Welp

Yeah guess the guy that said another prediction another nothing feels real stupid now!

Except he was right. An 8.0 just hit Mexico.

except he said east coast of japan...

So, does that take away from the fact he predicted a super rare event and called the time and magnitude?

Hmm.... Doesn't seem to be the case...

Are you fucking kidding we literally just had an 8.1 quake in Mexico

WELP.

The less a man makes declarative statements, the less apt he is to look foolish in retrospect.

and then there was an 8.0 in Mexico 24 hours later.....

Words are delicious. Bon appetite!

You were wrong as shit

You were wrong as shit

8.0 off the coast of Mexico today. Check. Mate.

Don't you feel dumb

damn

haha eat a fat one you negative richard cranium.

Turns out he was right.

Lol well you were wrong eh

Haha

How do you feel today?

Boy were you wrong

What was that?

You were wrong fyi

Mexico

Omg u were so wrong

Thanks ParsingSol. Hopefully you are wrong, but this CME seems pretty ominous.

This scientist disagrees (see Q&A at end where this specific question comes up) https://www.pscp.tv/w/1OyJArQlrgDxb

no doubt- just throwing it out there. if someone went with as above so below I wouldn't hold it against them either for example

She just lost all credibility with what happened today.

gg, someone tell her to go back to McDonalds and put OP on a 6k salary

This? https://mobile.twitter.com/newearthquake/status/906019415904227329

im excited and scared at the same time, but im always hopeful more insight can be gained.

At the risk of sounding ignorant, what do solar flares have to do with earthquakes? Not trolling, just hoping for some kind of explanation for this supposed correlation.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=1&v=2ExcoItb4oc

Interesting, thanks. I never knew there might be a connection.

What is a planetary flux tube? In your words, please

That's not what it is. They are 3d magnetic field structures. They are inside and ouside the earth.

High energy photons are not deflected by our magnetosphere. High energy particles are.

Magnetic flux tubes convey incoming charged particles to both poles.

Nothing, and there is no correlation. /u/ParsingSol has never actually created a statistical model or done the math for his predictions, it's all made up.

Text copied below this point at 21:03 GMT for comparison and verification purposes. No edits made, I simply copied and pasted the text.

0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0

(for those not staying tuned September 6, 2017 @ 14:00 UTC Major Spaceweather Event (X9.3 Flare) / CME(Updated) The largest solar flare of the current solar cycle 24 was just observed around region 2673. The massive event measuring X9.3 peaked at 12:02 UTC Wednesday. A Type II radio emission with an estimated velocity of 1969 km/s was recorded. A bright coronal mass ejection (CME) is visible in the latest STEREO Ahead imagery and will likely be directed our way. More to follow once Earth facing LASCO coronagraph imagery becomes available. Aurora sky watchers may be in for a treat later this week. ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2017 Sep 06 1202 UTC Estimated Velocity: 1969 km/s Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event. SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst Begin Time: 2017 Sep 06 1154 UTC Maximum Time: 2017 Sep 06 1156 UTC End Time: 2017 Sep 06 1157 UTC Duration: 3 minutes Peak Flux: 12000 sfu September 6, 2017 @ 09:25 UTC X2.2 Flare! (Updated) Region 2673 just produced a nice X2.2 solar flare at approximately 09:10 UTC (Sept 6). This is the first X-Class event to be detected since May 2015. The active region is still in a decent position for Earth directed eruptions. More updates will be provided should a coronal mass ejection (CME) be associated. More to follow. Image courtesy of SDO/AIA. the X2 solar flare did not appear to generate a noteworthy solar flare. Winds 850 - 950km/s 8.0 9.5+ 750 - 850km/s 6.0-7.5+ 650 - 750km/s 5.5 6.5+ 550 - 650km/s 4.0 5.5+/- 450 - 550km/s 3.5 4.5+/- New Ammo from mirth-red I have taken the 1 min mean Bz Data from NASAs ACE (the DSCOVR data portal is relay cancer) and compared them to earthquakes. http://imgur.com/HP3ArCn Black points are earthquakes - Higher y-value -> greater magnitude The y-Value for Bz data-points is the intensity of your so called "breach". I assume the intensity of a "breach" is |Bt - Bz| The color shows the Bz value itself. The values have some shitty scale for comparison. The time frame is 01-01-17 to 08-28-17 There are really some intense earthquakes only days after a big "breeches" and high |Bz| values. Maybe there is a correlation. I didn't run any statistic tests, so my guess is so good as yours. And of course don't forget: "Correlation does not imply causation." At least this does not obviously contradict your theory. 2017, 2015-2016 2011 I had 2011 processed early. I am not giving a projected location this year. The projection is for a 8.0-9.5 magnitude quake. I've included all processed data showing the correlation between b's breaches and seismic events known to date. Most years showing a consistent relationship. If you are good at statistical analysis we could use your help. Please pm me. So ya. I literally think 8.0 is easy this time around kids... It's coming. A week tops- So 7day warning;

You are a fraud! In this post you said and i will quote you:

If I am right about this, then I just changed the field of seismic prediction forever-

You were 100% wrong and you have proven your theory is a bunch of bullshit. All you do is guess. Many commentators have shown how easy it is to guess the way you do. Pick an active zone - don't be too specific, wide time frame and something around 6.0 earthquake.

Many times those people were much better than you in those guesses. I really can't believe some people still buy your bullshit. I'm speculating half the comments are your alt-accounts just so you can feel better about yourself.

There does seem to always be a high number of upvoted comments on his posts saying some variation of "I know you get a lot of flak, but you always work so hard and do such a good job. Keep up the great work!" I don't see that kind of praise around here for people who are actually right, let alone someone who is consistently wrong.

He's passionate and giving his all. It doesn't matter if he ends up being right or wrong, it might nonetheless provide some new insight or we learn Earthquakes don't correlate with CMEs.

Also, I'd gladly read this over most of the Hot topics here.

It doesn't matter if he is right or wrong

Why do people keep saying that? Of course it matters. When all of those 4Chan posts about "massive arrests starting tomorrow" kept being wrong, people eventually stopped listening to them and posting them here. If something keeps being passed off as "absolutely true this time, for real guys" and keeps failing to deliver, why would anyone bother listening anymore. Like I've said before, I liked these posts at first but until they actually start producing accurate results (more accurate than random guessing) I'm really not sure why anyone keeps falling for them.

There is a good case that ParsingSol has shown no correlation. The difference is the result isn't as consequential to me. Him being wrong is good too. Having organized and analyzed graphs can be beneficial by itself.

Meanwhile, 4chan posts about "massive arrests starting tomorrow" rely solely on the outcome. There is no back work that is beneficial, hence a lesser desire to read up on it.

Additionally, space is cool, CME are cool, flares are cool, earthquakes are cool, SECCHI and SOHO are cool. Quite simply just personal preference.

Politics isn't cool and I think many are tired of them.This is why I'd rather read his likely wrong prediction(I am indeed skeptical of it).

Lastly, it's one topic once in a while on a busy sub-reddit. It's not like he's taking over.

Him being wrong is good too. Having organized and analyzed graphs can be beneficial and insightful by itself.

Showing that a model is wrong is a very important part of science, and it's still respectable when you learn this. But my problem with him (I'm not the guy you've replied to) is that he doesn't have any set criteria for a failed hypothesis, not in terms of time window, area of effect or anything. And he doesn't seem to collect any data for his predictions versus reality either.

So he just keeps going without being able to conclusively and scientifically say whether his predictions have been accurate over time.

Good points. ParsingSol did not actually provide any data for his 8.0-9.5 Earthquake prediction(my mentioned skepticism in my prior post). I assumed he was keeping data, but that is just an assumption.

I scoured his past posts and read the his Seismic Prediction essay. I found posts attempting to design a database for comparison and specific cases of CME and earthquake overlap. I was disappointed to not see any statistical analysis or any original data besides the case study of events.

He also does himself a disservice by exaggerating. He says he is progressing and I wouldn't dissuade him from posting these. I admired Th3_Admiral's approach when he confronted ParingSol about being precise on the timetable and scale.

I would still not attack him over this and let those who enjoy this content to enjoy it in peace.

Because if he's wrong at least we can rule out his methods and models and try something else. That's totally different to people making up stories with no basis for attention

It doesn't matter if he ends up being right or wrong

And there you have what's wrong with the education system in this country.

Most of the time he picks an area known for large and many earthquakes.

He basically predicting if there will be a shooting in Baltimore.

There's a name for the fallacy you just used, not sure I know it though.

Broken clock fallacy maybe? If that's not the name, it should be.

I feel like you are applying that to op. Unsure. I meant for the guy I responded to. Most large earthquakes occur in the ring of fire, so whether op is right or wrong of course most of his predictions would be there as even a very accurate model for murders would often guess baltimore.

That's a good name for it though

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas_sharpshooter_fallacy

maybe?

There have been less than 1 recorded 8.0 and above earthquake a year in the last 100 years, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_21st-century_earthquakes#/media/File:USGS_magnitude_8_earthquakes_since_1900.svg. So predicting one the week it happens is a pretty impressive fluke.

Wow. You have a total boner for this dude... If you don't believe him, then just untag him and move on. This is the internet. You aren't some Batman or something.

Now i'm sure he's using alt-accounts.

Lol k. I can't believe you saw through my clever ruse of posting for two years without ever even replying to the dude. Great job scooby

Who's on who's dick again?

Find any time before today I ever spoke about this earthquake user. Go ahead. I'll wait.

It's just sketchy this dude makes it his job to stalk someone who has a theory they are testing by themselves.. It's not like the dude believes he is infallible. He's studying what no-one else now really is. Worst case scenario? We find that there is no correlation.

I'll take someone who has an idea and tries to prove it over someone who just follows and naysays.

He wasn't incorrect:

https://www.google.com/amp/abc7.com/amp/80-earthquake-strikes-coast-of-mexico/2390046/

He wasn't exactly right either

http://www.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/6yhv3l/the_ultimate_earthquake_test_is_about_to_commence/dmox7n6

If you keep predicting things eventually you will get something somewhat right. You can't just say "there is going to be an earthquake but I don't know where" and not give a location. Earthquakes happen all the time, when he gives a location he is sometimes "right" but his locations are never correct.

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2017/09/08/americas/earthquake-hits-off-the-coast-of-southern-mexico/index.html

You done complaining?

Did you not make a prediction about a large one not too long ago? Did that one happen?

Just checking! Not saying anything, just trying to keep up.

How sure are you about your own sanity though?

Please do not attack other users, only warning.

Of course. That was in no way an attack though. It was a logic joke as he was implying his sanity had a value that was known to everyone, but that was never explicitly stated. OP took it in the spirit I intended based on his reply.

Ah I see, my apologies for the misread.

The last one was shit, but it's an extra data point.
How has your mental model changed?

There is no model.

So you're right? There was an 8.x in Mexico.

Let's hope it's not Fukushima 2.0.

Good work. I think what you do is super interesting.

Do you remember the CME before the big Fukushima quake last time? I do.

......And, you fucking nailed it. 8.0 off the coast of Mexico.

Twenty bucks says that's not the only big quake we'll have in the coming week.

Didn't you say there was going to be one last week? Never heard about an earthquake

It's actually, IMO, not the size of the flare - it's the size / energy of the CME that counts. At least, that's been my casual observation over the years.

So, would you say, that it's reasonable to infer that it's not the size of the boat, but rather, the motion of the ocean, that counts?

what all are you sharing from your model?

That's what she said.

Kudos for owning your mistake last week, I read that one, it was still a great post!

Don't predict, do statistical analysis on historic data. Sun activity and earthquakes have been measures for a long time. Show us the results.

I saw the news on the flair and wondered if a post from you would show up here. As far as a learning experience I hope you're right...but I really hope your wrong..no offense.

RemindMe! 7 days

Don't care if your right or wrong. Upvoted thread anyway.

There was someone a couple weeks ago said this would happen. Still waiting.

Once I saw the news about this flare I immediately looked up to see what your prediction was :). It's always a balance of hoping your right vs not wanting areas to be devastated by giant earthquakes. After the last big flare we didn't get a serious earthquake, but we did get two of the strongest tropical cyclones in recent memory. Do you think that solar flares could be affecting the weather just as much as seismic movement?

Even if there were to be an 8.0+ or higher, this still proves nothing you know that right? If it did mean something you should be able to go back to previous sun events like this one and link them to major earthquakes happening. Have you done that yet? Any historical data to back up this current claim?

If past sun events like this one don't have major earthquakes after them, then a major earthquake this time is more in line as a random event... a fluke... not related.

Interesting. Thanks for the reply.

RemindMe! 7 days

RemindMe! 7 days

You're so full of shit. How many more faulty predictions until you admit that you're wrong?

Wanna correct yourself?

Probably not. Most of the naysayers I've seen haven't bothered or don't care to. Even if there's slight correlation, this could mean something... what? No idea.

He's been making false predictions for months.

Every single post I've ever seen you make is a grandiose claim of something coming followed by nothing. This thread is pretty much a gullibility test.

*this sub

What you got to say now?

Throw shit at a wall long enough and you're bound to hit something eventually?

Except he was 100% right. If it were just something close I'd agree with you. He said "I literally think there will be an 8.0 earthquake within the week..."

Yeah, but that's where that saying comes from. He was right once out of however many times he's made predictions. It's definitely interesting and I think warrants more research into the methods they used

A broken clock is right twice a day.

He might of called it this time lol

...

I said this in your last thread from 2 weeks ago and ill say it again.

There won't be Jack shit kiddo.

Wrekt

This guy's job is to sell you earthquakes when an EMP detonation makes more sense.

I appreciate these threads. It's a good change up from "But Grumphf and muh russha guise!"

http://ds.iris.edu/seismon/zoom/?view=eveday&lon=-106&lat=47

With all those earthquakes around Yellowstone, this is getting spoopy.

Weren't you totally wrong about this just the other week?

But today he's not wrong...

So based on just those two events he has a 50% prediction success (as good as random). Any more failed predictions we should take into account?

Lol I don't really care, I was just giving him credit just for the random prediction.

lol I heard about it on the radio and immediately thought of this. Now he just has to prove he can repeat it reliably.

People are talking about this on 4chan and it is attracting a ton of disinfo. Might be legit.

Where is the quake predicted?

Based on?

Lol k

and now...?

Watch it hit North Korea

There is a simple way to test the accuracy of a prediction models. You take the past inputs the the model, you run them in the model, you compare what actually happened with the model output. Then you aggregate and publish the results so others can try running it themselves.

What should we call this method?

I think we should call it a transgression. Or something like that.

Reddit Gold?

Flimflamming

Parsingsol

Parsingsol

Science-y method

hoping you gain some credibility because you sure have lost a lot.

<333 good luck man

He called it

RemindMe! 7 days

RemindMe! 7 days

RemindMe! 7 days

RemindMe! 7 days

RemindMe! 7 days

RemindMe! 10 days

Lol, just like the last one I bet.

Whos still stupid to fall for OPs bullshit.

He just guesses.

There's really not.

Guessing is not a model

https://www.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/6yhv3l/_/dmni6ce

Literally you guessing

How do you feel now? Seems like an educated guess, but better than just a random guess.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas_sharpshooter_fallacy

Nowhere near Japan, but lets just ignore that eh.

Non-Mobile link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas_sharpshooter_fallacy

^{HelperBot v1.1 /r/HelperBot_ I am a bot. Please message /u/swim1929 with any feedback and/or hate. Counter: 109308}

RemindMe! 7 days

7 Days... Lets see..

I remember you made one 2 weeks ago, then you made one for the eclipse (which i somehow missed). Overall if this does not come true, your creds will be withered. I had faith for the first one, i got my xenu book of mormon ready with a dixie cup jonestown style, but no spaceship came to pass because the ground didnt shake to warrant me to supposite it.

You were right but im still skeptical. Ill hold off on putting a 'solution enema' up my ass. Good job. Hope you can hone this down so it can be more accurate. The past few predictions doesnt bode well since you were saying the same thing different days. Other than that it seems you have lots of work to do and hope no more solar flairs comes this way so you will never make these predictions again.

I wonder what /u/TheEarthQuakeGuy would have to say about this?

I was called to the last post by ParsingSol, and while his theory is detailed, it didn't come through. We'll see about this one, but frankly, I disagree.

I believe you are correct, seems like all these fine folks are hoping for the world to end.

Curious to know your thoughts on this. Pure coincidence, or is there some science behind this prediction?

Would you be willing to do a follow up?

I have followed your posts with great interest... but not religiously, ParsingSol, and Ann (;>) large part o>f me believes you're correct, that your theory is correct.

And if it is... beware... because they'll* steal it from you.

*They already know, and will use it to their financial advantage!

I'll keep my eyes on the "news".

Peace and Love to you, and yours.

Can I recommend that you reach out and talk with someone? His name is Stan Deyo. He has a website. Reach out and contact him and talk him through your process. I think you both could gain greatly.

I believe you. Keep doing what your doing.

lol when I read about the solar flare I thought of you immediately!! Thanks for the info brother!

People still upvoting this is a joke.

8.0 in Mexico. Joke on that buddy.

RemindMe! 7 days

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us2000ahv0#executive

Remind me! 7 days

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us2000ahv0#executive

!remindme 1 week

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us2000ahv0#executive

Very interesting. Looking forward to future predictions based on the data.

remindme 8 days

RemindMe! 8 days

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us2000ahv0#executive

September 11

Given the disruption of the carribean with these massive hurricanes, do you think that area or tbe mid altantic ridge would be ripe?

My line of thinking is the enormous volume of mass these storms disrupt that would relieve or put pressure on the plates and fault lines.

This displacement and temperature change might also disturb the magnetic fields in the ocean as well.

See

NASA - Marine Magnetism

NASA - Ocean Tides and Magnetic Fields

8.0 mexico

Is this the same guy as u/GlobalHell? Or something to that effect?

Great work man. We need you in a large, quake-proof lab with any and all instruments you require.

This guy is mentally ill.

Though I agree, there is a higher chance we could get rocked by this one. If you keep crying wolf eventually a wolf will eat you.

Removed. Rule 4. You can make your point without the armchair psychology.

I have taken the 1 min mean Bz Data from NASAs ACE (the DSCOVR data portal is relay cancer) and compared them to earthquakes.

No you didn't, somebody else did it for you ...

And he conveniently forgot to mention that i said all other years i looked at don't look correlated.

And he conveniently forgot to mention that i said all other years i looked at don't look correlated.

Unbelievable ...

It's super disturbing that so many people above are going nuts over "a correct prediction" without checking anything in the data or where it came from.

Kudos on your analysis (all of it...) and maybe this 'result' will encourage parsing solar to publicize his model (if there is such a thing?) more concretely...

Strange thread

OK, who's got the "nothing is going to happen" bet going?

Remindme! 7 days "earthquake warning".

RemindMe! 7 Days "earthquake"

haha this. aaaand Irma.

Hi again u/ParsingSol, what does this mean for those of us in Japan? Specifically the Kansai area. Thanks so much as always!

Thank you for this info! I can't describe how it feels to see you were right again. (I've been following your stuff since you posted under u/GlobalHell)

I was just watching some flares on Helioviewer. Here's one movie I made. Great freaking site.

For reference:

The probability that a earthquake with given magnitude happens somewhere on earth in a 7 day time frame should be something like this.

I can try to explain it to you, and give you the source i used. That is no problem. Send me a message when you get a computer.

If you cite someone, you should always give the whole picture. You should have included that i did not see correlation in other years.

Whatever happens in the next 7 days isn't a test for your model.

• Lets assume your model is right, and a 8.4 happens.
  -> We can't distinguish it from guessing. A singe hit with a 3.99% positive outcome isn't really impressive.
• Lets assume your model is mostly right, and nothing notable happens.
  -> Maybe there are other factors, you did not consider yet, and 99.99% conditions would lead to a 8.5 eq.
  
• Lets assume your model is wrong, and a 8.4 happens. -> A singe hit with a 3.99% positive outcome isn't relay impressive.

So you really should not see something like this as a test. You have to assist many events like this. For that you need a formal model - not these incoherent posts - and test it with data from the past.

Form the table:

8.4 0.00399

Lets assume your model is right, and a 8.4 happens. -> We can't distinguish it from guessing. A singe hit with a 3.99% positive outcome isn't really impressive.

Assuming a value of 1 = 100% probability, a value of 0.00399 = 0.399%, not 3.99%. 10x less likely.

I agree that a single hit doesn't tell us much, regardless.

thanks

You are saying in this very post, that a speed of 850 - 950km/s triggers a earthquake with magnitude 8 to 9.5. You are predicting 8.0 to 9.0. For your previews predictions you used the bz value and speed value from http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind. The speed since the X9 never has gone over 620km/s there.

Did you change your model? How die you predict this one?

Noaa isnt accounting for drafting. As this cme is following in another past cme's wake.

What is this support to mean?

But i guess you don't get my point. You said you have some model, which is build on this data. So how are you predicting without that data is available in the moment?

RemindMe! 7 days

This is very interesting. I have seen this correlation made before between solar flares and Earthquake activity. The information seems to be solid. Let's hope that you are wrong but if you successfully predict a quake, maybe more people will listen to the data.

What everyone should be more worried about is the relation between solar activity and hurricanes. In short, CME ejections are fast hot particles that can possibly create hurricane forming conditions. Seismic activity is then triggered due to newtons laws of motions.

Haven't had a chance to properly look through the CME data yet. But been thinking of your model when I saw the flare.

If this CME has a large earth directed component then I guess this is it, IF your theory is to stand up then there has to be a strong earthquake.

Any thoughts on location or you not willing to stick your neck out that much?

So, to be clear, your prediction (based on your "model") is that there will be an earthquake that's 8.3 or higher in Nepal or Japan?

That is what you are claiming, correct?

8.1 in Mexico City....

Lol bro stop, whatever you're doing is not going to work. What's your excuse this time?

Holy shit

It would be nice if there was a primer on your basic theory. But it seems that your theory is that CME and/or other solar activity are either highly correlated or cause earthquakes. Is that correct?

Does the theory also expect a connection between the size of the CME and the intensity of the earthquake?

A couple questions/comments;

1. When you say high intensity impacts, what is doing the impacting and which body, the sun or earth?

2. I thought this was a theory and you were evaluating data to determine whether the evidence supports the theory, but your first statement indicates that you theory is proven fact. Is that the case?

3. You say that more CME's reduces the effect that you are studying (earthquakes in this case), that would seem to undermine the theory. If A causes B, then more A should lead to more B right? What are your thoughts on this?

4. If a CME = significant seismic event, what is the time frame that would support your theory (e.g. +/- 12 hours, 24 hours, 3 days, etc.) and what time frame would be seen as unrelated?

5. Given that seismic activity and earthquakes are occurring constantly is there a minimum magnitude for the expected earthquake that occurs after a CME?

Very interesting stuff, the idea that events on the sun exert an influence on earth's gravity (and therefore seismic activity) seems at least plausible. It would be interesting for us laymen to understand how much force a large CME sends to earth in a non technical way.

Remind me 7 days.

You downgraded your prior prediction from an 8.0 to a 7.0 due to time dilation but never explained why or how that would be possible. Could you explain what you meant by that and how it affects your current prediction?

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What does that have to do with time dilation?

Are any portions of your current prediction that should be taken metaphorically instead of literally?

Why is that? There has been a 6+ almost every other day for the past week. What makes this one different?

Heres a sign your party is getting started: https://twitter.com/newearthquake/status/905850501731717120

My prediction - Korean peninsula. On the 11-12.

That was a nuclear bomb.

you're wrong... so far

Looking at the latest data and cross-referencing your own theory,

Back here, you posted the basis of what you're looking for

and gave this screen shot as an example: http://imgur.com/a/S8eR9

And now, today we are seeing the current storm upgraded to a G4 class event, Bz/Bt opening up and the solar wind speed increasing. Todays data that I've annotated for everyone:

http://imgur.com/a/NUilr

So, if you are right. This data arguably perfectly matches what you are looking for.

I do accept though that the theory is only that an event is significantly more likely but not guaranteed to occur. I also, as a disclaimer, disgree entirely with your method for determining location and in fact most of your theory of interaction as it is largely non-scientific (location is probability based I get that, but that's not explicitly useful). I do however like and agree with the underlying idea that solar events may trigger earthquakes - though I believe this is only due to placing additonal stress on already stressed areas increasing the likelihood of a rupture. Seismic events are ultimately caused by seismic stress between surfaces and ruptures can and do occur regardless of solar activity, and solar activity does not indicate a rupture will occur.

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Ok considering u just fucking nailed it, could u do an ELI5?

ELI5

Earth is a giant magnet and when you mess with it's magnetic field it moves around a bit.

And we never noticed this?

This dude just did.

Are you God?

Are you a virgin??

You are spot on. Don't worry about these guys. Keep doing you brother, I believe in you. I really do.

Looking at the data again after the fact, I note these random variations in the speed and density graphs moments before and during the quake (@0449). They don't appear at any other time.

http://imgur.com/a/NL4yj

In fact, zooming out to the 7 day view the anomaly really stands out:

http://imgur.com/a/8yfvM

Wonder if related to the earthquake - if so most likely an emission causing interference with detection equipment. Maybe related to earthquake lights in the sky that can occur independent of electrical malfunction (e.g there are historical records of flashing in the sky during quakes that predates electricity)

It's interesting nonetheless

The energetic particles released by a CME get channelled along the external magnetic flux tubes of Earth?

The particles then transfer energy to the magnetic field? When, in space, atmosphere, or core? How, what EM law governs this conversion? What percentage of the energy is trensferred to the magnetic field instead of the aurora borealis?

Or are you talking direct influence of the suns magnetic field on our core internal dynamo magnetic fields?

This data arguably perfectly matches what you are looking for.

8.0 just hit

If I constantly guess lottery numbers and never win but once, can I predict lottery numbers?

8.0 just detected near Mexico

Woah

So literally nowhere near his Japan location

Connection to rim of fire?

Picking the entire rim of fire is just a massive copout.

He basically guessed an earthquake would happen in the most seismically active area in the world. Way to go out on a limb

Still gotta give the guy some credit tho.

No I dont.

That's fine. To each their own.

To be fair he did say "if I had to guess "

His whole 'theory' is based around being able to 'predict' them. Part of that is a location.

Not saying his theory is correct, just pointing out that his prediction was magnitude, his guess was location

Ah caaammmaaan man. This was good

These are his 'predictions'

8.3 east fukushima namie predecture. Associated tsunami. Wave heights of 2.3 meters. Depth 33km-56km
Or
8.2 Nepal (central Himalayan ridge). Depth 28km-90km

.

Id argue nepal and japan as the most likely to have s 8.0+
I assess this event to be an 8.3 or above.

So nowhere near it.

Fact it happened at all is nuts to me. Wasn't the last 8.0 like 2012 ?

I predict a 9.0 in San Francisco tomorrow.

Chill

2015.

7.9's in 2016 too

Fact it happened at all is nuts to me. Wasn't the last 8.0 like 2012 ?

Do you even do basic research on things you claim to know?

The list I was looking at was 8.5 and up.

That's why I asked "wasn't it?" Leaving room to be corrected.

Still fair call - he called it.

No. He didnt

Salty

Why would I be salty?

lol! Not only is your demand for an accurate prediction but an accurate location as well. Kind of silly.

If both can't be predicted, what's the point?

The fact that neither can currently be predicted...? This is one step closer... What if everyone gave up after the first tiny success?

What if everyone ignored the 20 predictions he got wrong for the one slightly less wrong than the others?

Sure! Might as well. You obviously can't be convinced. There have been a lot of things invented by man kind that failed before they were successful... Not sure what your point is...

Those people had demonstrable data/theories - Not just guessing and excuses

OP shared his work on his reasoning for his prediction... Newtons Law of universal gravitation is currently understood as theory... http://www.physicsclassroom.com/class/circles/Lesson-3/Newton-s-Law-of-Universal-Gravitation

When something is in progress in scientific method you are more often wrong than right. I'm not really sure why this has to be explained. OP provided source material for his reasoning for his prediction... If he was truly guess why not post something every single day predicting a earthquake? Your argument is pretty silly.

OP has posted nothing of his method.

He merely just blathers about science he doesnt understand

Cool! Whatever you say!

Feel free to link me to his clearly defined model where he posts the output.

Ill wait.

Nah, I don't spoon feed people. There is a lot of content on the internet plus /u/ParsingSol has his own subreddit, that you are welcome to review. Obviously if you cared enough to look into it you would have. So I'm not going to feed the troll.

I have looked

Ive found nothing but feelings, junk science and just not plain understanding what he looks at.

Its ok to admit you cant find it though.

Sure thing! You win!

So cute.

Jinx! You and Allenba77 posted the same comment at the same time! See their comment here.

I am a bot who is owed many Cokes.

So cute.

Thanks! Glad you are bored enough to comment on this instead of being capable of google something as simple as "the sun affects on the earths tectonics plates". But hey understand, not everyone can be as smart as my 9 year old cousin... Keep up those witty comments! They will take you far in life!

Sure thing! You win!

Well, I wasn't disappointed.

Lmao get a life

Says the guy this far into a comment thread in a conspiracy thread.

Nah, I don't spoon feed people.

"I'm totally wrong but want to appear as if I'm intellectually superior anyway."

/u/ParsingSol has a ton of information available for people to read. Google from there. Once I see that some one actually has an interests in learning more, I will throw a ton of content to you to feed your want for more information. But when I see some one with a history of trashing an idea without any concern to learn more, than I'm not going to waste my time on you. Don't fucking label me with your shitty comment, I don't consider myself superior for having researched something because I wanted to learn more.

He actually did call out off the coast of Mexico and other “likely regions” in a comment below.

The whole of the Pacific Rim is not a specific location

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us2000ahlq#executive

300k south of Japan is off the east coast now?

Also a 6, as opposed to the predicted 8?

He literally just threw around a bunch of random places. He got lucky. His corrections are always wrong or always thousands of miles away from where he claimed. I'm sick of people being duped by this guy.

Lol nobody’s duped, and the theory itself is almost flatly stupid common sense, really. And as far as I’m concerned, his personal stylisms, if you will, are forgivable, can be corrected, and taught away.

How is "solar flares cause earthquakes through blah blah flux tubes" common sense?

Probably the same way this earthquake lighting from this exact Mexico earthquake is..

https://mobile.twitter.com/lalocedeno/status/906022311731462144

Hang on, eating a bowl of cereal, but in the mean time can you tell me how earthquakes cause clouds and lighting in the sky?

http://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/why-do-lights-sometimes-appear-in-the-sky-during-an-earthquake-180948077/

From your very own link, re: earthquake lights, so you’re Smithsonian link is telling me the ion/magnetosphere interacts with rocks in the ground..? You don’t say.. ;)

Over the past few decades, a variety of hypothesis have been offered. Some have proposed that tectonic movement of rocks that include quartz could generate a pizoelectric field that produces flashes of light. Others have suggested that tectonic stress temporarily allows rocks to conduct electromagnetic energy, triggering changes in the magnetic charge of the ionosphere, the uppermost level of the atmosphere. But it's extremely hard to test either of these hypotheses, because earthquakes are so unpredictable, and the conditions are so difficult to replicate in a lab.

u/parsingsol should be proud.

The sun is not in the ionosphere

but the particles that the sun emits during a solar flare do end up hitting the ionosphere.

Your middle school science teacher should be ashamed.

He said Mexico was another likely location. Even thought he wasn't sure of the location he did say Mexico was a possibility.

He guessed the majority of the most seismically active region in the world.

Dude, who took a shit in your cereal?

He's a redditor, mainly active to a specific subreddit, posting thoughts/theories he finds interest in. People en masse aren't dictating their lives on his work and he doesn't claim to be a professional or presenting flawless information. He saw the x9 and other variables he deemed relevant and made a prediction based on a system he believes in / is working on.

Who fucking cares if he didn't name the exact city and time and magnitude and damage done? He claimed an 8.0+ is coming within 7 days and it did.

If it bothers you so much, just piss off. Some people find what he's doing interesting and should that amount to nothing, so be it. It's their choice to be as engaged with it as they like.

If he was on television, broadcasted to millions, claiming all of this to be 100% accurate, I'd be on your side but he's not. It's a hobby of his that may very well start up conversations and influence others to look into the correlation of solar activity and how it affects the earth.

Let him try and let us who enjoy watching him publicly do so, do so.

Chill.

Hes predicted another dozen earthquakes that have been dead wrong.

Why is this one any more than a lucky guess.

I'd rather him be public about his predictions, right or wrong, so that I and others can decide for ourselves.

People will cry coincidence, people will cry "a broken clock" but in the end he's trying. If it amounts to nothing in the long run, so be it. If it doesn't, then we'll all be thankful.

I look at what he's doing as net positive either way. If it's a bunch of crock, it's of benefit to us to have it cataloged over time and if it's not and starts others to invest time and conversations to the subject, it's of benefit as well.

Should countless others with theories/ideas they're working on, for a wide array of things, just quit when not regularly accurate from the start?

As I said in my post you probably didn't even read, if it bothers you, just piss off. Some people find this interesting and anyone with a solid head on their shoulders can see that him being so public about it all will only benefit the discussion/idea presented regardless of outcome of his predictions.

I reiterate, chill.

I'd rather him be public about his predictions, right or wrong, so that I and others can decide for ourselves.

People will cry coincidence, people will cry "a broken clock" but in the end he's trying. If it amounts to nothing in the long run, so be it. If it doesn't, then we'll all be thankful.

I look at what he's doing as net positive either way. If it's a bunch of crock, it's of benefit to us to have it cataloged over time and if it's not and starts others to invest time and conversations to the subject, it's of benefit as well.

Should countless others with theories/ideas they're working on, for a wide array of things, just quit when not regularly accurate from the start?

As I said in my post you probably didn't even read, if it bothers you, just piss off. Some people find this interesting and anyone with a solid head on their shoulders can see that him being so public about it all will only benefit the discussion/idea presented regardless of outcome of his predictions.

I reiterate, chill.

/u/parsingsol 8.0 in mexico 10 minutes ago 9/8/17

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

day 1 of 7 day window - nailed a magnitude that's not very common.

but your right. mexico is not nepal.

Should I be worried. I am in Nepal.

Holy shit. You were right. An 8.0 just hit off the coast of Mexico.

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

https://www.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/6yhv3l/the_ultimate_earthquake_test_is_about_to_commence/dmnmgru/

While Japan was his primary guess he also said it might hit ...

...Nepal, Chile, New Zealand, Philippians, Tonga, Mexico city, or Turkey.

He literally threw around a bunch of random places dude, most of those are high risk areas too. When he gets the location right with a proper guess I'll be a skeptic

You're either very obsessed or this makes you upset much more than it should. Get some rest champ, maybe you'll have a better day tomorrow.

Well it happened

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

He said his model wasn't specific enough to pinpoint a location. Japan was a guess.

I think this merits further research.

Did this just happen?

8.0 earthquake off the coast of Mexico tonight bro. Holy shit good call on magnitude

And he also called out Mexico albeit to a probabilistic region and to a lesser degree then Japan, but still he gets a gold ⭐️ for today.

he called out 10 areas known for having earthquakes i mean come on...

All those areas are next to major faults, where there are earthquakes daily.

Sure, but last night was one of the largest in history. Shit happens every day, right?

There is about one or two 8.0-9.9 earthquake every year. And a dozen of 7.0-7.9.

Now you're completely full of shit.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2017

If you scroll down a bit, you'll see the number of earthquake per year and per magnitude for the past ten years.

Pretty sure OP isn't talking about burbs deep in the earth. An 8.1 is a massive quake close to a population center.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_20th-century_earthquakes

Well the 8.1 was actually 60km deep and 100km off the coast. But that's not really the point. The point is that if you predict big earthquakes all the time, eventually, and probably sooner than later, you 'll be right. But anyone can do that.

I predict a heatwave in the Sahara.

I predict the Cleveland Browns having a losing record this season.

The only way this guy could ever be wrong is if there was never an earthquake again. How many weeks can you call an earthquake happening in the next 7 days, never get one, and still be credible? Broken clock is right twice a day.

He predicted an 8-9 magnitude earthquake to occur within 7 days, the frequency of which is once every 5-10 years. Of course, this is probably pure coincidence, but having just been made aware of this sub, my interest is certainly piqued. Could there be a positive correlation between 'some' earthquakes and intense solar activity? If he's on to something, his model and accuracy will improve with time. What is the proposed causal mechanism?

I'm not up to date on his methodology concerning causal mechanisms, I just know from monitoring this guy's "work" that he's frequently predicting these quakes and failing time and time again, which makes it disheartening to see this one held as any sort of confirmation. Not even two weeks ago his later-failing prediction was described by him as one that would completely change his field. As others have stated, if he could apply his method to previous events of high solar activity and show any causality, maybe there would be legitimacy, but failure to do that and his repeated predictive failures makes for a more than skeptical view from me.

Ok. I think I'm starting to get the picture. His methodology is all over the place and his claims are grandiose and overly confident. Not the hallmark of good science. Maybe there is a grain of insight. We'll see. Thanks for the response.

Discoveries are made by the people with grandiose ideas, scientists check after the fact.

What is the proposed causal mechanism?

Pure chance.

5.3 just hit Japan.

Hah now this thing is going to be exciting, tbh. :D

It was confirmed to be 8.4. Holy shit.

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

But maybe Mexico if you read the comment

Are you a wizard?

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

Yeah, but accurately predicted the date and his magnitude range was spot on, so 2 out 3 seems to me like wizard level of prediction.

OH FUCK 8.0 IN MEXICO WTF

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

You're really going hard in this thread dropping the same comment. Fuck's your agenda?

You were correct

https://youtu.be/EL_2SiAU0Gg

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

Wow there was just an Earthquake in Mexico right now of 8.0 it felt strong but it was an oscillatory earthquake so it was not destructive here in the city

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

What in the living fuck?

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

He said it was a guess, and the fact that the man predicted an Earthquake with this magnitude is impressive by its own. Give him some slack, though it would've been even more incredible if he guessed the location right

I'd give him some slack if he got the location right once. This is what he does. Earthquakes happen all the time, when he's "right" he is off by thousands of miles, when he is wrong people still believe him. He isn't predicting anything.

"Earthquakes happen all the time." So it's just sheer coincidence that this specific one occured after a solar flare? And somehow with the same magnitude. Do you really expect me to believe that? But yeah, man "muh location" meme.

How the fuck is "muh location" a meme? Is it really such an ask to expect him to not be completely wrong about the location for once?

Are you really this assblasted just because he had one error with his prediction? I understand he was wrong on that part, but come on.

"One error"

When that error is pretty fucking important to his prediction, yeah.

Exactly, one error.

Are you the guy in Day after tomorrow

Congrats parsingsol! You did it. 8.0 in Mexico

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

Ok, for the next 48 hrs i won't post any negative comments in /r/conspiracy unless they're about the altright.

wow you called it?

p.s. dont edit your post or people will think youve changed info

Wow i saw this post last night and i came back when i heard!

I saved this and came back the second I saw!!!

A broken clock is right twice a day. If OP is always making predictions and they're never right, doesn't mean it's related the one time it lines up.

Predicting earthquakes is more difficult than predicting the weather. And everyone knows that predicting the weather is nothing more than an educated guess. He has been close multiple times. A broken clock is right once in every 720 times. To compare his prediction to a something that is right %0.013 of the time is not a fair analogy nor does it give him his due credit.

Now it will be interesting to see if the 6.0 comes in CA, seeing as he thought the two were related.

Would be interested in seeing the model he uses to predict this

As a Californian, I am not interested to see if the 6.0 comes. But I'll be incredibly impressed lol.

Los Angeles checking in, can confirm .. we aren't interested in any earthquakes. thank you.

Shouldn't have built a city directly on a coastal fault line if you weren't interested in earth quakes.

Shouldn't have built anything anywhere

Dutchsinse has also put the West Coast on watch for a 6.0-6.9 in the next several days for "compensation movement" due to the 8 in Mexico. He is worth checking out, he's been doing this a long time and has his forecasts down pat. He gets it right on a daily basis.

San Diego here. And an earthquake can fuck right off

6.0 in Cali is like nothing tho, its when we get into the 7's when the damage starts.

It actually happened in Japan not long ago! Almost 6.0!

It happened in Japan! Almost 6!

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

He also said "If I had to guess..."

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

the data points he based his model off of don't include location in any way. he could only offer his best guess like anyone else for location.

So his best guess was no better than a layperson's then? Which would mean all of the data he is collecting is utterly unrelated to earthquake prediction? Oh wait, this is rere central where the absence of fact is actually proof. You people are so sad.

Damn

Aye. Good prediction, OP.

Now, do it again.

Pretty sure OP just dropped his mic. Unreal.

holy fuck

I did a remind me for 7v days and here I am following up sooner. The mechanisms of our solar system are being calculated by independents.

academia is broken. makes sense.

OP calls an Earthquake like once a week.

could you source that? people keep saying this, but it would be a lot clearer with examples that didn't correlate to small quakes.

Here's one predicting an 8.0 in Nepal due to the eclipse.

https://np.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/6uly2k/a_bad_feeling_about_this_eclipse_guys

Which sort of morphed into this one predicting the largest quake of 2016-2017. It was supposed to follow some massive solar activity that was 100% guaranteed a sure sign of a really big upcoming quake. His 36 hour window passed with no major quakes at all.

https://np.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/6vkmhl/if_i_am_right_about_this_then_i_just_changed_the

Here's one for a 7.0+ quake in New Zealand that I don't think ever happened either.

https://np.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/6s6o42/65_70_earthquake_5_day_warning_new_zealand

These are just his three most recent predictions. You'd have to dig a bit further to find one before last night's that was even close to accurate.

Gotcha. I think op might be a nut job, but the model op developed might have some merit. Check my other comment in this thread (I'll link it up shortly) for my opinion on the matter.

Check out the Dutchsinse live stream. He forecasts EQ's that occur on a daily basis, even small ones.

Furthermore there are hundreds of earthquakes every day all over the world. Admittedly an 8.0 is an exceptional one, but it's only one correlation point in a large number of predictions and quakes.

Do you realize there are hundreds of earthquakes a day but 8.0 quakes are rare and he called it.

Yes, but he also called an 8.0 literally last week.

Yeah dude, where the fuck are all these doubters coming from? Like all these comments are massively upvoted as well. I think Wittgenstein had a good point when he said "The limits of my language mean the limits of my world." I think people are so defensive in the comment section literally because the name of this subreddit is telling them that this is a conspiracy.

I've seen you on /r/Steelers. Now I understand why your posts there are so abysmally stupid.

Such hate.. go outside and get some fresh air

Except actual real scientist had predicted this as well. Even a broke clock is right twice a day.

In his edited post?

He called others and was wrong.

Nastrodamus confirmed

No he didn't. He's made a number of false predictions for sometime. Eventually he was going to get it 'right'.

He predicted the wrong area, and gave a range of a large earthquake.

He hasn't used historic data to validate his theory.

Please understand this for what is it is;

A fluke

Misinformation like this post, dutchsinse etc claim to have abilities to predict these events, which people flock to because of how scary it can be. I understand that. I really do because I used to be like that before I realised how bullshit that was.

Unfortunately, it's fear mongering. It's causing constant concern and in the end, when nothing happens, it can create disbelief in the actual dangers of these events.

So again, he didn't call it, he got lucky.

Incredible!

yea holy shit wow!

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

In before holy shit nice job, how in the hell did you get this one

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

Congrats parsingsol! You're onto something here! 8.0 in Mexico. https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us2000ahv0#executive

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

He said these are common libations for earthquakes of this magnitude, that's why he guessed both. But if you look at his comments he mentioned other potential places too, obliging Mexico. Pretty much a guess based on historical data.

r u jesus

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

Right on.

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

youre trying too hard dude lol

This guy fucking nailed it. http://news.trust.org/item/20170908050116-wvzxh

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

Fuck dude! 8.0 Oaxaca, Mx. Congratulations on a good call.

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

Holy shit guys

Y'all are in here celebrating his "victory" when he originally said Mexico City (this is in the gulf over 500 miles away) and had said that in addition to 7 other places all over the globe.

You have pretty low standards to be impressed by that. If he can pull it off repeatedly, then he's on to something, but so far he has been wrong every single time, and was "close" this one time.

His comments elsewhere say Japan and Nepal

DAMN SON

Mexico

To be fair the media has just reported an 8.0 off the coast in Mexico

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

I was here

I was also here.

They were here.

wat

Reddit gold for all

!RedditSilver

Dickbutt

Username checks out

We were here.

Roaming on the endless prairie.

He was also here

I was not here ssh...

I wasn't.

Posting in an epic thread.

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

He guessed tho

Not much of a model if he never "guesses" the location right

He mentioned Mexico City in one of his comments.

Along with a bunch of other random locations he threw out

Hi mom!!

i am here

Include me in the screenshot

I'm still here.

And after they were able to predict an earthquake every 6 years, humanity was never the same.

We...were here...

We were here

Présent.

An 8.1 just hit off the coast of Mexico...

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

That happened.

You did it. You deserve it. This is where it gets really interesting.

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

You're right about that. What fascinates me is the fact that less than 24h after his prediction there was a huge earthquake. Pinpointing locations is tricky, we're just a tiny planet in a big universe. I didn't expect him to be spot on, I do find it very interesting that he was right this time.

Gg

dude..

he actually did it

The absolute madman

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

Well.

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/pt17251000#executive

/u/parsingsol

https://www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/6yspm7/magnitude_80_earthquake_strikes_off_the_coast_of/

8.0 just hit Mexico

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He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

He said he was not sure that was his guess. But he did say it was going to be a easy 8 . and it happened less then a day after. This guys knows his shit. No way he can be exact on location but he did know it was gana happen.

Hahahah look how many people gave you shit. Unbelievable OP. I appreciate the work

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

Lmao getting downvoted for stating the truth. These idiots think he's a god haha

He said if he'd have to guess. Go read the thread champ

Got to ove gullible people.

Oh my god, an 8.2 earthquake just hit. Legit?!

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

He also said "if I had to guess" before that. I'd say accurately predicting an 8.0 earthquake within a week timeframe is pretty impressive in and itself

You clearly don't follow this guy. This is what he does. He throws around vague locations or no locations, and even when he's wrong, he claims he's right. Earthquakes happen all the time, he isn't predicting anything.

I don't, but I'll try to keep an eye on that sub from now. Might be on to something, you never know right?

If he was on to something we would know by now. He's never gotten the location of one of these correct.

Seriously u/le_united_sucks obviously has a vendetta against this guy, he has commented on every recent comment. The truth is that parsingsol chose not to give an answer for location (he said in main post? until prompted (in comments.) I'm not claiming the guy is a prophet but it's definitely a possibility that he's on to something and just hasn't quite figured out how to pinpoint the events.

He doesn't give a location because he can't, because his model is bullshit

Dude you are in r/conspiracy, if you don't like his posts don't read them, but mass commenting is ridiculous. If his models suck let others reach that conclusion themselves.

8.2 earthquakes happen "all the time"?.....are you intentionally trying to be thick?

What about all the other earthquakes where he got the location and dates wrong?

You were spot on man.

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

holy shit dude you were right! You're onto something. If you could consistently predict earthquakes you could save millions. Keep on working!

Here's your 8.0!

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2017/09/08/americas/earthquake-hits-off-the-coast-of-southern-mexico/index.html

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

You keep posting this why?

this is fucking trippy

Oh my god, you were fucking right!!! https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn.com/cnn/2017/09/08/americas/earthquake-hits-off-the-coast-of-southern-mexico/index.html

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

I don’t care, what if it’s not a fluke and he predicts another one, then he can work on narrowing down where the earthquakes will be. It’s just amazing (or extremely lucky) that he was able to predict an earthquake at all.

Dude. The fuck.

why didn't you predict a location this time?

He did. Japan or Nepal. Where coincidentally, this earthquake was nowhere near.

I read it was updated to 8.4

Boom - 8.1 off Mexico

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

He didn't want to give a location until prompted. He obviously knows that part of his method is off.

There was a 6.1 in Japan too.

Stop predicting this shit man! I'm trying to sleep and this 8.0 just woke me up and told me to get back on Reddit.... (El Salvador)

Is it possible for a solar flare large enough for you to tell me what happens on the next season of game of thrones

People die

Sadly but also immediately that news of the earthquake reminded me of you .You !!!!!! You are genuine!!!!!!

He's not. He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

He said he would not give a predicted location this time.

Because he can't. Because he can't predict these.

But he gave several locations over multiple posts anyway.

Harder to disregard people calling bullshit on you when you dont give a location

I believe he's genuine. I'm spooked and still thinking that it's not even the matter of the location. Because range of the magnitudes and time span was correct , right ? And he said he wouldn't give the location this time? ( I had no clue at the moment about it though)Then I think he was right.

So why was his last 'biggest earthquake of 2017' prediction completely wrong?

Honestly I have no clue... but I think this time was legit.

Why this one in particular?

What happens when the next one is bullshit?

I really don't know. Don't ask me please:(. Ask him .

Oh , it's my bad. Thank you for noticing me. Because I'm currently in Japan..... :(

Confirmed for prophet

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

I'm spooked right now

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

10+ exact replies. Bravo.

Surely this constitutes as spam right?

Friday September 8 2017, 04:49:17 UTC: SSW of Tres Picos, Mexico - 8.0

http://quakes.globalincidentmap.com

Well done!

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

My boi /u/parsingsol!! Those flux tubes are sure reacting as we had predicted my friend. Great stuff.

Well shit...

Earthquake of magnitude 8.1 strikes off Mexico's Pacific coast

You called it /u/ParsingSol. I'm giving this one to you, and I'm a skeptic!

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

Dude, you seriously need to chill out. You just made the same post like 40 times.

Because I'm sick of people being duped by this, and I saw a comment in /r/news that would lead people here. The guy never gets the location right, why should we believe him?

I get that, but to make that many replies is bordering on obsession.

This is a heavily shilled platform with both paid posters and bots.

They take like 2 seconds each dude

Obsession or paycheck..

more like jealousy, dude predicted an 8.0 earthquake and lo and behold a day later 8.0 using nothing but the fact that there was a solar flare.

I am not giving a projected location this year.

Didn't he say this in the post?

And then posted 3 or 4 sets of locations, one of which was vague enough to be 'accurate'

Oh, I see the comment post now. Thanks for explaining.

But look at the context, he's not saying "It's going to be here!". Rather:

but if you were to expect an 8.0-9.5 eq I'd assess: Japan, Nepal, Chile, New Zealand, Philippians, Tonga, Mexico city, or Turkey. To me these are the most typical regions to display this Intensity.

Basically, he's saying to just consider those locations...and turns out Mexico City is actually a hit.

By itself, the location data could be seen as a broad guess, but you have to factor in that he also called the magnitude and timing pretty darned well.

That is basically guessing the entirity of the most seismically active area in the world.

Yeah, but again:

By itself, the location data could be seen as a broad guess, but you have to factor in that he also called the magnitude and timing pretty darned well.

He said if he had to GUESS. He never 100% was on where at.

He was way specific on where:

8.3 east fukushima namie predecture. Associated tsunami. Wave heights of 2.3 meters. Depth 33km-56km Or 8.2 Nepal (central Himalayan ridge). Depth 28km-90km

[–]ParsingSol[F,S] 68 points 1 day ago If I had to guess East coast, Japan.

Twice in this thread:

"Note this is assessment based on observation. Its literally a theory. Not to be confused with guessing"

"I wouldn't say I am guessing."

Looks like this man here was right.

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

You cannot pin an earthquakes location based off solar activity. Mere predictions from him, basically everything else was spot on.

You cannot pin an earthquakes location based off solar activity.

Cant predict one will happen either but that doesnt stop OP trying

Damn congrats.

Up vote

Up vote

Up vote

He was right

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

Who cares. Timing an 8.0 earthquake to the very week it would happen must be 1 in 10,000 odds

He does it by probability. He doesn't have this part down yet. But he freaking did it!

He didn't freaking do anything. He gives vague times and incorrect locations and people eat it up. It's ridiculous.

Done more then you, princess

Hello internet historians!

It happened! Mexico 8.0.

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

Can you stop. He has explained many times that this is all about probability.

You are so annoying. Can't you rejoice in something?

Now the science has to catch up.. is it just gravitational waves or nutrinos heating induction plates

Are there really like 50 of the same comments in here trying their hardest to discredit a cool prediction w/ research put in and factual info? Like, sure it may not be an exact science, but who shit in your cereal to the point where you HAVE to win this?

It's not a prediction because his locations are never right. When he gets a location right I'll give him the benefit of the doubt

Who gives a shit if you give him the benefit of the doubt? Your opinion is irrelevant, despite the fact that you've posted the exact same comment no less than 40 times in this thread alone. Give it a rest, crazy ex-girlfriend.

But replying to EVERY post on here? Merely saying, "Hey man, wow, nice work you've been paying attention and that work seems to have paid off slightly in this moment!" and you have to spend your night replying to comments with the SAME comment?

spend my night

Literally 10 minutes maximum

Literally doesn't come across that way.

He just jelly bro

There is minimal research and factual info.

It was only a week ago someone had to make him a chart to even attempt to show correlation.

If he was doing actual research he wouldve done that years ago

I don't know about all yalls history or whatever, but I was only mentioning how in this, whether it minor or major successful call, there are a lot of seemingly sour people. I mean, he said it would happen, however he got there, and it did. That's what people are reacting to.

Im not sour.

If this was his first prediction, Id be interested too.

This is his umpteenth prediction.

Literally last week we were going to see the 'Biggest Earthquake in 2017', and his reasons for it not happening are the eclipse and 'time dilation'

Hes a snake oil salesman and it amazes me how many people take him seriously.

I understand where you're coming from, and honestly my initial comment was mainly directed at the MANY identical comments from the other guy, but me having not known what all else the guy's done limits me from going much further. I just thought it was silly how it appeared like a guy is just trying to use a form of research and pass along what he thinks it means, and then met with repeated backlash.

If it was research, thatd be fine too.

The.problem is he either has no, or refused to publish a, concrete model, nor has any data correlating his predictions to actual events. All i see is tenuous explanations as to why they dont occur (Time Dilation/Eclipse/etc), Vague grasps on location (Where either the locations cover virtually the whole ring of fire, or thousands of km away is 'accurate'), and just a plain misunderstanding of the data he claims to interpret.

This is all masked behind excuses of not having enough money, or the technology to apparently form a basic verifiable model.

Again, I think a lot of folks here are simply seeing that what was said would happen did, and that he's getting props. Whether the rest is bullshit is up in the air, but I mean, we ARE in r/Conspiracy right?? This isn't r/Science for 100% set in stone data, but maybe that's just me looking too into subreddit names lol. I feel you're more about shielding people from false truths, and in that I'd see what you were setting out to do.

Im just amazed that everyone is so ready to jump unboard this theory when its been so wrong so many times

Im just amazed at how fucking salty you are.

Why am I salty.

I've never seen a more toxic and negative individual on here then you.

Explain why this means SO much to you that you would comment numerous times denigrating /u/parsingsol.

Because his theory is complete and utter horseshit and I do not understand why he still has any credibility.

Maybe you're just real dumb

This is the 2nd time I've seen a prediction like this based on solar activity though in the past year or two. So there's that.

Wrong

Wrong

Wrong

Wrong

Revised and still wrong

Yeah I'm not saying it was this guy, I'm saying I remember seeing another thread like this. I know if you throw enough darts one might finally hit, but still, it's interesting when it happens. I could make 500 predictions and probably never get one right.

Just honestly wondering, because I looked up this guy as soon as I saw the earthquake and he predicted it right again, could you take 10 predictions and get two earthquakes right within days even hours and correct magnitude to prove this guy is wrong? A broke clock is right twice a day but at what point is a person more right than broke clock twice a day? I never visit this somewhat awful sub but this is the second time this guy's been right in like six months and I think it's pretty incredible. And every time there are people acting like they could predict earthquakes if they had ten or fifteen quesses

And every time there are people acting like they could predict earthquakes

No there arent. There are just people disputing OPs ability to do it

Right and they're assuming it's just random but if I randomly guessed when an earthquake would be you really think I could guess magnitude and within hours/days of an earthquake? I passed this guy's posts months ago and his prediction was right on but of course he was wrong on the location, needs some work there. But you really think there's no correlation between solar events and his predictions at this point? I'm guessing there's a third factor he's not aware of that makes his predictions seem off because he can't tell when the two combine to create an event but he appears to either be really good at guessing or on to something. I was wondering if he guesses so often that anyone could get it right or if he's on to a single factor that could create geological events like this one. Everyone just seems so sure he's wrong or right its hard to tell if it's random or not.

But you really think there's no correlation between solar events and his predictions at this point?

If there is he has no idea what it is.

If his theory was right why have the last 10 all been bullshit?

If everyones wants to cherry pick his 'predictions' and ignore the ones that have all been blatantly wrong, All power to them.

There's definitely a problem with his model I was just wondering if anyone could duplicate his results at random and if not then how is he accurate at all or ever.

Science, where you wing it.

HOLY SHEET!

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us2000ahv0#executive

He said it would be in Japan or Nepal

You are one salty motherfucker.

He predicted a fucking earthquake! That's pretty insane. Yes, it's not perfect, but, it's a start.

He predicted a fucking earthquake!

No he didnt.

The projection is for a 8.0-9.5 magnitude quake.

There was a magnitude 8.1 Earthquake. How is that NOT a prediction?

The dude just keeps posting the same thing over and over. Not worth your time.

Throwing shit at a wall and seeing what sticks isnt a prediction.

Done more then you bud