I find it very interesting that almost every single time this twitter account mentions "southwest Daara" there's a terrorist attack in Afghanistan within 24 to 36 hours later.

1  2018-05-19 by AIsuicide

https://twitter.com/FSAPlatform/status/997814945172647937?s=20

It's also interesting that whenever they mention "Daesh" specifically in a tweet...an ISIS attack happens soon after.

I've been watching this account for almost a year now...I see certain patterns over and over.

Regarding this specific tweet..I'm going to predict that there will be a terrorist attack (specifically by ISIS, not the Taliban) in less than 24 hours..we will probably be hearing about it in the morning news tomorrow..

The fact that the tweet mentions "multiple axis" leads me to believe this will be a multiple threat event.

Meaning...bombs and shooters...either suicide bombers or a car bomb, followed by shooters.

Recently the attacks in Afghanistan have taken a very dark turn in targeting journalists...also, locations related to upcoming elections..

Laugh all you want..but I'm very serious when I say I fully expect to hear that there was a coordinated multi strike attack by ISIS in Kabul tomorrow morning.

53 comments

Welcome back /r/conspiracy!

Nice stuff. Do you think it’s some type of communication system?

I absolutely believe it is. As far as who is actually behind this twitter account is still a big mystery to me.

They recently experienced a serious lack of activity on this account when the Ghouta/Douma evacuations in Syria occurred..so, I believe at least one important submitted to this account was located in Douma til the last of the evacuations.

I know think they are probably operating out of Idlib..we shall see soon enough as their activity is increasing again.

I've made numerous posts about this account...first one was June 8th of last year..

Somebody posted that post on 4chan (I didn't know this til almost a year later)...it didn't gain traction because they thought no attack happened the next day..

An attack did happen the next day...in Karbala...major news didn't run with the story tho...so no one heard about it. .

I’d say it being a coincidence it out of the question. Once again, nice work. You’re honestly shedding light on the inter workings of something far larger than we can imagine.

I’d say it being a coincidence it out of the question.

Why? Did you attempt to calculate the probability?

Stating an opinion. Hope that’s cool.

Interesting. How soon after do the attacks usually happen? 24 hours? Or within a week or so? What timeline are we looking at yet. I know you said 24h for the next you think but what’s the usual timeline?

24 to 72 hours usually with these kinds of tweets.

Lately the pattern is closer to 24 or less. I don't know why.

Hmm very creepy. I haven’t read through the account, are the attacks generally in the Middle East or have they precluded western attacks too?

When I first noticed a pattern it was western attacks also. Someone posted about my post on 4chan..(didn't know until a month ago)

https://archive.4plebs.org/pol/thread/129198562/

They used a different method during those..obviously.

Well it’ll certainly be interesting to see if we have an attack soon. Tbh I won’t click your link because I don’t read anything 4chan related I hate it. But I’ll be keeping an eye out for any attacks soon and if one comes out you may want to report that account to some authorities that can track it down, who knows you could help destroy Isis or some shit by unmasking some terrorist that would be clearly on the inside if he’s this accurate

Hate it or not, 4chan is at the ground level if you want real deal information.

And the Jedi are evil from my point of view. 4chan appears to be a great resource is you’re more willing to believe them than the MSM. I get that’s a common sentiment around here, but here’s how I view it:

If I posted on 4chan tomorrow than I’m DJT himself (not political here at all, just using the current man that has nuke codes) and said I was launching all nukes we have at NK or Iran or hell let’s throw Iceland in there....90% wouldn’t believe me. Good for them. However 10% would and even if no nukes would launch they would swear I’m DJT himself because 4chan is where you go for 84926D chess. I view 4chan as “I can saw what I want when I want and as long as I use some cryptic words people will buy it”. Now I’m not saying there’s never any good stuff on there (I genuinly wouldn’t know I’ve gone there a handful of times total) I’m simply saying that the anonymity leads to WAY to much cesspool BS to make it worth my time.

If you enjoy it good on you, I do not because it appears to be filled with people who think they operate in an entirely different dimension than the rest of us. But this is all personal opinion of the site after trying to read through and being exhausted by the circle jerk BS

There are diamonds in there, but they are truly rare. Its easy to slit larpers vs. the real thing after youve been there a few times.

Well again, nothing against you if you read it more power too you. I just don’t have the time or energy to read through the cesspool shit that I’ve seen there the handful of times I’ve visited

u/Alsuicide, just following up I haven’t seen anything major in the news recently. Did I miss something? Could still be within the margin of error I suppose, so just curious if I happened to have missed anything major?

Didn't someone once make a correlation between a middle eastwrn pro freedom fighter twitter account posting out of place infographic images and terrorist attacks happening within 8 hours? I'll try to see if I can dig up the thread.

that was probably me...I nuked my post history a little while ago...so, you might have trouble..(if it was my post)

Afghanistan has terrorist attakcs almost daily anyways... List of terrorist attacks this month.

In the first 19 days of May, 14 out of 19 days have at least 1 attack listed in Afghanistan.

True...but it really has nothing to do with me predicting this specific event.

One could also say..."I was going to predict an attack, but I never did....because people would make fun of me...but if I had...I would have been right."..

I think you are missing the point he is making. Or refusing to see it ....

There will be an attack within 24-72 hrs NO MATTER what. It's like me saying that whenever "random Twitter account" uses a word that starts with the letter T, the sun will rise within 24hrs.

Fascinating stuff, good job OP.

Do you mean large scale atrocities? The reason I ask is almost everyday there is news of people dying at the hands of terrorists somewhere in the middle east so it could be argued that it's a case of confirmation bias. What about all the attacks that happened when the account was quiet? is it just small scale stuff it ignores?

I haven't looked past the first couple of pages yet to check it out for myself and see if the term 'Daesh' tallies up with major attacks. I love this stuff. Need more of this stuff here imo.

The patterns I see/bother to research on, are usually fairly large events. I consider anything over 10 people dying and 15-30 people wounded a fairly large event.

As far as when the account was quiet during other attacks..that's something I've been working on..involving other twitter accounts...(something I recently started)

There's also the instagram and whatsapp routes..that are pretty much impossible to track.

Good find!

The Syrian war basically started with the US, Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and several gulf countries started something called operation Southern Volcano meant to overthrow the Syrian government at least in the South and South-East of the country, it was operated out of the MOC operation room in Amman, Jordan, on the southern border of Syria.

There was a similar, simultaneous operation run from a Syrian room by Turkey with unclear allies (Probably Turkey, the US, some European allies) and communication with the southern room.

My guess is that they had something similar in Iraq, in Afghanistan, etc. Where they were training terrorists (and painting them as "rebels" for external consumption).

My other guess is that this kind of shit is a way to coordinate between all those command centers.

Those were only "moderate rebels" we (the cia) were funding, arming and training in 2011 and earlier...

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You shouldn't be posting this publicly, you should be informing the FBI.

I’d be curious to see the exchange

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This should be interesting to see

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Hate to burst your bubble, but that's not a conspiracy. A correlation between variables, does not automatically mean that the change in one variable is the cause of the change in the values of the other variable.

  1. It's a news feed.
  2. That reports on conflict.
  3. In the middle east.
  4. About a prominent militant force.
  5. Who is in the middle of several wars.
  6. Who is involved in attacks every day.

Isis would be attacking everyday even if the news feed didn't exist.

Seems sometimes people here have a gut feeling and come up with very interesting results. I've always liked OP's thought processes. Another interesting thinker was u/parsingsol - he/she was using solar flare data to predict earthquake events.

The gut feelings people bring here, when paired with intelligence, show a product that I find very curious and valuable.

Ya interesting. But also hogwash. This doesn't even take scientific research like with paringsols claims to deduce if this is real or not. It's just a narrow view of something tied together with twine

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And before every torrorist attack in France there are jews being assaulted or killed

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Numbers_station

Back in the day there were numbers stations. The US government then developed and moved on to The Internet (Infrastructure for command and control communication - ARPA) and TOR (Infrastructure for encrypted communication, NAVY). Of course those technologies were developed with private industry and universities, and eventually went out to the world at large. I wonder what command & control system they have piggy-backing on all of this now?

Daraa is a governorate and city in southwestern Syria where the FSA are fighting against ISIS/daesh, the twitter you linked is an account covering FSA clashes... It's bound to talk about whatever clashes happens between the FSA and IS in Daraa.

This is what makes this place special.

You are the reason I come back everyday, and people like you.

Keep it up. we need you.

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Do you have data showing the correlation between their tweets and attacks? Would be very interested to see what you’ve collected.

I'm very much intrigued. Thanks for giving me something to do while laying on my couch as my immune system tries desperately to defeat the bronchitis that is ravaging my body. This is much appreciated!

So, what happened?

Total fail....I managed to predict a terrorist attack in the one time a terrorist attack didn't happen within 72 hours.

phew, a thread that's Not about cryptocurrency

Ladies and redditors, we have arrived at peak Reddit.

I’d be curious to see the exchange